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Currencies

Fed shifts into cautious policy mode as risks become more two-sided

WASHINGTON, Nov 21 (Reuters) - U.S. Federal Reserve officials agreed at their last policy meeting that they would proceed "carefully" and only raise interest rates if progress in controlling inflation faltered, the minutes of the Oct. 31-Nov. 1 gathering showed on Tuesday."All participants agreed that the Committee was in a position to proceed carefully," according to the minutes, which appeared to show support for more rate hikes dissipating within the U.S. central bank's Federal Open Market Committee, and the baseline shifting to one in which its benchmark overnight interest rate...
Currencies

Wall Street tortoise overtakes Chinese hare

ORLANDO, Florida, Nov 10 (Reuters) - For long-term investors, the famous 'tortoise and the hare' fable is a useful reminder that the stock, sector or country racing ahead today may not be the winner tomorrow.This has been true of the performance of Chinese stocks vis-à-vis Wall Street at nearly every juncture over the past 30 years, perhaps surprisingly, given China's surge to global economic and financial powerhouse status in that time.With economic, trade, and geopolitical relations between the two superpowers at their lowest ebb in decades, investors are more attuned...
Banking

Central banks need a word with budget masters

LONDON, Nov 10 (Reuters) - If a re-emerging risk premium in bonds is down to government debt sustainability worries, central banks may need to lobby their Treasuries that it's undermining their control of credit.U.S. Federal Reserve officials are puzzling over why bond borrowing rates spiked lately even as Fed policy expectations have remained largely unchanged. Whether a resurfacing "term premium'" now demanded to buy and hold longer-term bonds, is responsible is central to the conundrum.If a sustained or even more volatile risk premium tightens or loosens credit beyond what's intended...
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