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Currencies

Crushed FX volatility as dollar, finally, subsides

LONDON, Nov 22 (Reuters) - If you were looking for a klaxon to mark the end of the interest rate cycle, a crushing of currency market volatility rings loudly.Deutsche Bank's CVIX (.DBCVIX) - the currency market's version of Wall St's "fear index" of stock volatility and a weighted average of implied "vol" in nine major pairings - has basically imploded.Subdued since mid-year, the CVIX took another sharp leg lower this month and hit its lowest since mid-February 2022 - just before Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the first of the...
Banking

Central banks need a word with budget masters

LONDON, Nov 10 (Reuters) - If a re-emerging risk premium in bonds is down to government debt sustainability worries, central banks may need to lobby their Treasuries that it's undermining their control of credit.U.S. Federal Reserve officials are puzzling over why bond borrowing rates spiked lately even as Fed policy expectations have remained largely unchanged. Whether a resurfacing "term premium'" now demanded to buy and hold longer-term bonds, is responsible is central to the conundrum.If a sustained or even more volatile risk premium tightens or loosens credit beyond what's intended...
Investing

Investors turn risk-on for some junk debt but not all

Nov 7 (Reuters) - It's fear and greed in the fixed-income markets once again as traders bet the Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates, but aren't quite sure that it won't still break the U.S. economy. Case in point is the market for low-rated companies.In recent days, as it started to appear that the Fed rate- hiking cycle might have peaked, investors have shown more willingness to dip their toes back into junk-rated bonds.But they are going only as far as the safest bets in the junk category, bonds...
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