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Currencies

Crushed FX volatility as dollar, finally, subsides

LONDON, Nov 22 (Reuters) - If you were looking for a klaxon to mark the end of the interest rate cycle, a crushing of currency market volatility rings loudly.Deutsche Bank's CVIX (.DBCVIX) - the currency market's version of Wall St's "fear index" of stock volatility and a weighted average of implied "vol" in nine major pairings - has basically imploded.Subdued since mid-year, the CVIX took another sharp leg lower this month and hit its lowest since mid-February 2022 - just before Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the first of the...
Currencies

Fed shifts into cautious policy mode as risks become more two-sided

WASHINGTON, Nov 21 (Reuters) - U.S. Federal Reserve officials agreed at their last policy meeting that they would proceed "carefully" and only raise interest rates if progress in controlling inflation faltered, the minutes of the Oct. 31-Nov. 1 gathering showed on Tuesday."All participants agreed that the Committee was in a position to proceed carefully," according to the minutes, which appeared to show support for more rate hikes dissipating within the U.S. central bank's Federal Open Market Committee, and the baseline shifting to one in which its benchmark overnight interest rate...
Banking

Goldman Sachs execs see steeper Treasuries curve, softer demand

Four thousand U.S. dollars are counted out by a banker counting currency at a bank in Westminster, Colorado November 3, 2009. REUTERS/Rick Wilking/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 21 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs (GS.N) expects the U.S. Treasuries curve to steepen in the long term, driven by rising fiscal spending, top executives said."Fiscal spending has not abated. It's strange for us to be spending this much" when employment is high, Ashok Varadhan, Goldman's co-head of global banking and markets, said on a company podcast."It doesn't feel like we're going...
Banking

US Treasury market debate around hedge fund collateral intensifies

Four thousand U.S. dollars are counted out by a banker counting currency at a bank in Westminster, Colorado November 3, 2009. REUTERS/Rick Wilking/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 21 (Reuters) - As U.S. regulators ready rules that would push more trading in Treasuries to a central clearing venue, the industry's focus is turning on a key question: how much collateral should hedge funds and others put up to trade there.At issue is whether imposing minimum requirements for collateral, called margin or haircuts, would raise trading costs and curb market...
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