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Banking

Central banks need a word with budget masters

LONDON, Nov 10 (Reuters) - If a re-emerging risk premium in bonds is down to government debt sustainability worries, central banks may need to lobby their Treasuries that it's undermining their control of credit.U.S. Federal Reserve officials are puzzling over why bond borrowing rates spiked lately even as Fed policy expectations have remained largely unchanged. Whether a resurfacing "term premium'" now demanded to buy and hold longer-term bonds, is responsible is central to the conundrum.If a sustained or even more volatile risk premium tightens or loosens credit beyond what's intended...
Investing

Investors turn risk-on for some junk debt but not all

Nov 7 (Reuters) - It's fear and greed in the fixed-income markets once again as traders bet the Federal Reserve is done raising interest rates, but aren't quite sure that it won't still break the U.S. economy. Case in point is the market for low-rated companies.In recent days, as it started to appear that the Fed rate- hiking cycle might have peaked, investors have shown more willingness to dip their toes back into junk-rated bonds.But they are going only as far as the safest bets in the junk category, bonds...
Banking

US investment banks see early signs of revival in dealmaking

Peter Orszag, CEO of Financial Advisory, Lazard, speaks at the 2023 Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California, U.S., May 2, 2023. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Oct 27 (Reuters) - Major Wall Street firms said a dismal year of dealmaking appears to have hit a trough, and now some companies are looking to merge, offering hope that investment banking revenues could pick up after a disappointing third quarter.Dealogic data showed that globally, investment banking revenue tumbled 16% in the third quarter from a year earlier. But...
Economy

Roaring US economy and foreign murk feeds home bias

LONDON, Oct 18 (Reuters) - With the U.S. economy roaring at a faster pace than China and global politics increasingly hard to fathom, there's a feeling the best bet in town is to stick with U.S. stocks regardless of relative valuations.After another forecast-busting U.S. retail and industrial readings for last month, the Atlanta Federal Reserve's real-time economic growth estimate hit an annualised 5.4%, more than a point higher than China's equivalent.And all against a murkier international backdrop.The Gaza crisis throws yet another geopolitical imponderable into an already crowded and confusing...
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