Stock Market

Is it time to let a robot grow your wealth?


Low cost is all the rage – and rightly so given that inflation continues to rampage away at an annual rate of 10.5 per cent. Yes, it’s lower than it was (11.1 per cent last October), but it’s still corroding our household finances. 

Value for money is also becoming increasingly important when it comes to how we invest our pensions and tax-friendly Individual Savings Accounts. 

More than ever, investors are seeking out low-cost investment funds – usually run by robots – that track the performance of specific stock market indices such as the FTSE100, the S&P500 in the United States and globally, the FTSE All-World. 

Alternative funds, run by managers who aim to outperform a specific index, are being shunned because they tend to have much higher annual charges that eat into investment returns. And, of course, aims are not always achieved, resulting in under rather than out-performance. 

Finger on the pulse: More than ever, investors are seeking out low-cost investment funds – usually run by robots – that track the performance of specific stock market indices

Finger on the pulse: More than ever, investors are seeking out low-cost investment funds – usually run by robots – that track the performance of specific stock market indices

According to the latest data from fund scrutineer Morningstar, fewer than a quarter of actively managed equity funds have outperformed their passive peers during the last decade. Over the year to the end of June 2022, the equivalent figure was slightly higher at 35 per cent. 

By example, the popular £2.3billion HSBC FTSE All-World Index fund takes total annual charges of 0.13 per cent from the returns it generates from tracking the performance of global stock markets. Over the past five years, it has produced investor returns of 44.9 per cent. 

In contrast, £2.8billion fund Baillie Gifford Global Alpha Growth strives to outperform – rather than replicate the returns from – global equity markets. Over the past five years, it has returned 40.1 per cent. Its performance numbers have been dragged down by annual charges totalling 0.59 per cent. 

The impact of annual charges cannot be underestimated. Data provided by Vanguard, a manager of both low-cost trackers and actively run funds, shows that a £10,000 investment growing at five per cent a year would be worth £26,533 after 20 years without charges. An ongoing annual charge of 0.1 per cent would reduce this to £26,007 while a fee of 0.6 per cent would take it down to £23,524. 

A report, to be published this week by Morningstar, will confirm a continued drift of investor money into low-cost funds. The data will show that over the past ten years, net flows into equity-based indextracking investment funds have exceeded those going into actively managed funds in nine of the ten calendar years.

Although indextrackers experienced more outflows last year than inflows, as investors took flight from falling stock markets – especially in the United States – they were a fraction of the money withdrawn from non-index funds. Morningstar says net flows out of index-tracking funds was £3.4billion, compared to £18.5billion for non-index funds. 

Jonathan Miller, head of UK manager research at Morningstar, says investors are becoming increasingly ‘cost sensitive’. He says: ‘When stock markets are performing strongly, investors are content with the fact that their investments are growing in value, irrespective of cost. But when market conditions are more volatile, investment costs become a bigger issue.’ 

He adds: ‘In terms of investment simplicity, low-cost funds that seek to replicate the performance of well-established indices are the way forward.’ Despite this, 80 per cent of investors’ money sits in actively managed funds rather than index-trackers. 

Alan Miller (no relation to Morningstar’s Jonathan) is a longstanding investment manager in the City, once running active funds for asset managers Jupiter and New Star. 

But since setting up SCM Direct wealth management company in 2009, he has been a convert to low-cost investment funds such as index-trackers. He says: ‘Investment managers often say that the next 12 months will be good for stock pickers. But it’s nonsense. The long-term probability of success – beating the market – remains unchanged.

‘Think about it like tossing a coin. You may guess heads or tails correctly the first and second time, but the more tosses you have, the more your success rate will gravitate to 50 per cent.’ 

Alan Miller says that investment returns from both low-cost funds and actively managed funds must equal the market return over the long term. 

But given investors receive their returns after fees, the average actively managed fund will always underperform the average low cost fund. 

Miller says most managers investing in the UK stock market tend to under or out-perform because of asset allocation decisions rather than their ability (or non-ability) to pick winning stocks. Most tend to hunt for companies beyond the 100 largest listed on the UK market which means their performance numbers can look poor if the FTSE100 has a good year. 

Last year, the FTSE100 rose by nearly one per cent while the FTSE250 – representing the next 250 largest companies by market capitalisation – fell by nearly 20 per cent. This was primarily a result of many FTSE250 companies having businesses exposed to a faltering UK economy. 

In contrast, the FTSE100 boomed on the back of its proliferation of strong performing oil companies and mining giants. 

Miller says: ‘This year, I wouldn’t be surprised if UK fund managers do well on the back of a stronger performance from the FTSE250. But, instead, I’d buy a FTSE250 index fund.’

Investment platform Hargreaves Lansdown says the best funds are HSBC FTSE250 Index and Legal & General UK Mid Cap Index. Respective annual charges total 0.12 per cent and 0.08 per cent. 

One final point. Over the last seven calendar years, the average UK equity investment fund has underperformed the FTSE All-Share Index on four occasions. 

By contrast, a hypothetical fund invested 50:50 in the FTSE100 and FTSE250 indices would have outperformed the average UK equity fund six times. 

Hardly an overwhelming advert for active fund managers. 

…they do earn their corn in certain areas, say the experts 

While investors may be gravitating towards low-cost investment funds, experts say there is still room for good active fund managers in an overall portfolio. 

Jason Hollands is managing director of funds platform Bestinvest, part of wealth manager Evelyn Partners. He says: ‘I don’t believe investors should dogmatically choose between low-cost tracker or active fund managers. There are many approaches to investing that lurk behind these broad brush labels.’ 

He adds: ‘If you’re building an investment portfolio, you need a tool box with a variety of kit in it. That means investment funds, stock marketlisted investment trusts and exchange traded funds. It also means both active and low-cost investment funds.’ 

Morningstar’s Jonathan Miller says investment managers do earn their corn in specific investment areas such as capital preservation. A number of big investment trusts such as Capital Gearing, Personal Assets, and Ruffer are built on this ethos. Also, managers do well in running smaller companies portfolios and incomeorientated equity funds (both UK only and global). 

Laith Khalaf, head of investment analysis at wealth manager AJ Bell, says there is a select band of managers with long, consistent track records of outperformance. But he warns: ‘This is no guarantee of future outperformance, and investors who aren’t comfortable with that fact should plump for simple low-cost index funds.’

Most investment platforms provide lists of recommended funds that include both active and index-tracking investments. For example, AJ Bell has compiled a list of ‘favourite’ funds; Interactive Investor has a ‘super 60’ list; while Hargreaves Lansdown has a ‘wealth shortlist’. 

For more information, see ajbell.co.uk/investmentideas/favourite; ii.co.uk/ii-super-60; hl.co.uk/funds/ help-choosing-funds/wealth-shortlist. SCM Direct runs investment portfolios, built around index funds, for ‘high net worth’ individuals. See scmdirect.com.

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