Stock Market

Is Comfort Systems USA, Inc.’s (NYSE:FIX) Latest Stock Performance A Reflection Of Its Financial Health?


Most readers would already be aware that Comfort Systems USA’s (NYSE:FIX) stock increased significantly by 16% over the past three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Comfort Systems USA’s ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company’s success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Comfort Systems USA

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Comfort Systems USA is:

22% = US$244m ÷ US$1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The ‘return’ is the yearly profit. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders’ equity, the company generated $0.22 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we’ve learned that ROE is a measure of a company’s profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don’t necessarily bear these characteristics.

Comfort Systems USA’s Earnings Growth And 22% ROE

At first glance, Comfort Systems USA seems to have a decent ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 12% the company’s ROE looks pretty remarkable. This probably laid the ground for Comfort Systems USA’s significant 20% net income growth seen over the past five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

As a next step, we compared Comfort Systems USA’s net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 18% in the same period.

NYSE:FIX Past Earnings Growth July 31st 2023

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company’s expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you’re wondering about Comfort Systems USA’s’s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Comfort Systems USA Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Comfort Systems USA’s three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 10%, which is quite low. This implies that the company is retaining 90% of its profits. So it looks like Comfort Systems USA is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

Besides, Comfort Systems USA has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 11%. As a result, Comfort Systems USA’s ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 20% for future ROE.

Conclusion

Overall, we are quite pleased with Comfort Systems USA’s performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company’s earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company’s future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Valuation is complex, but we’re helping make it simple.

Find out whether Comfort Systems USA is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.



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