Stock Market

Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?


SciDev (ASX:SDV) has had a rough three months with its share price down 11%. However, the company’s fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Particularly, we will be paying attention to SciDev’s ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company’s success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for SciDev

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for SciDev is:

2.4% = AU$1.2m ÷ AU$49m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

The ‘return’ refers to a company’s earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each A$1 of shareholders’ capital it has, the company made A$0.02 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we’ve learned that ROE is a measure of a company’s profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

SciDev’s Earnings Growth And 2.4% ROE

It is quite clear that SciDev’s ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 7.3%, the company’s ROE is entirely unremarkable. In spite of this, SciDev was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 27% in the last five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. Such as – high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

As a next step, we compared SciDev’s net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 3.4%.

past-earnings-growth

past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company’s expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock’s future looks promising or ominous. Is SciDev fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is SciDev Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

SciDev doesn’t pay any dividend currently which essentially means that it has been reinvesting all of its profits into the business. This definitely contributes to the high earnings growth number that we discussed above.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that SciDev certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company’s earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company’s fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst’s forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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