MCAN Mortgage Corporation (TSE:MKP) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.36 per share on the 30th of June. This means the annual payment is 8.8% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
See our latest analysis for MCAN Mortgage
MCAN Mortgage’s Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings
While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Before making this announcement, MCAN Mortgage was paying out a fairly large proportion of earnings, and it wasn’t generating positive free cash flows either. Generally, we think that this would be a risky long term practice.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 43.8% over the next year. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 57% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.
Dividend Volatility
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn’t look great with cuts in the past. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from CA$1.41 total annually to CA$1.44. Dividend payments have grown at less than 1% a year over this period. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company’s earnings are not consistent.
The Dividend’s Growth Prospects Are Limited
Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Unfortunately, MCAN Mortgage’s earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. Earnings are not growing quickly at all, and the company is paying out most of its profit as dividends. When a company prefers to pay out cash to its shareholders instead of reinvesting it, this can often say a lot about that company’s dividend prospects.
We should note that MCAN Mortgage has issued stock equal to 11% of shares outstanding. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus – perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.
In Summary
Overall, it’s nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. While the low payout ratio is a redeeming feature, this is offset by the minimal cash to cover the payments. We don’t think MCAN Mortgage is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we’ve identified 3 warning signs for MCAN Mortgage (1 doesn’t sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is MCAN Mortgage not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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