Finance

FTSE and European markets subdued after Wednesday’s dramatic slide


An aerial photograph showcasing a London cityscape. The FTSE was lower on Thursday

The FTSE 100 had its worst day since August on Wednesday sliding to its lowest levels since late November. (WireStock, Wirestock, Inc.)

European stock markets were subdued on Thursday after a day of heavy losses the session before amid heightened expectations that interest rates will be cut later than previously hoped.

In London, the FTSE 100 (^FTSE) was 0.1% down after opening, while the CAC (^FCHI) gained 0.1% in Paris, and the Frankfurt DAX (^GDAXI) was trading flat.

“European markets posted their third successive daily decline as markets continued their New Year hangover, after the pre-Christmas euphoria of what was perceived as a December rate pivot from the Federal Reserve,” Michael Hewson of CMC Markets said.

“The FTSE 100 had its worst day since August sliding to its lowest levels since late November, dragged down by a combination of poor performance from real estate, basic resources and energy after disappointing Chinese economic data, and the prospect of rate cuts getting pushed further into 2024.

“In the last few days, we’ve seen a concerted effort from assorted central bankers in Europe, as well as the US to dial back the expectation of early rate cuts, while a surprise uptick in UK inflation and some solid US retail sales numbers torpedoed the idea that we would see early rate cuts in March.”

Across the pond losses were fairly contained last night despite the sharp rebound in yields. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) slipped 0.6%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) was 0.6% lower. The Dow Jones (^DJI) lost almost 0.3% on the day.

The US dollar which initially rallied strongly to one-month highs, gave up most of its gains to close flat on the day.

Live9 updates

  • Paddy Power owner to list in New York

    Paddy Power owner Flutter Entertainment (FLTR.L) has confirmed it will list in New York by the end of the month as it posted a rise in fourth-quarter revenue.

    The world’s largest online betting company said its move to Wall Street was on track for January 29 as it revealed revenues grew 11% to £2.7bn in the fourth quarter, driven by 19% growth in UK and Ireland.

    The company, which runs FanDuel, the biggest sportsbook in the US with 43% gross revenue market share, said US fourth-quarter revenues were up 26% year-on-year.

    CEO Peter Jackson said: We are very excited that the addition of a US Flutter listing is now just days away. This is a pivotal moment for the group as we make Flutter more accessible to US based investors and gain access to deeper capital markets.”

    Shares surged more than 12% on the back of the news.

  • Markets stabilise but bumpy ride in store

    “After a difficult day yesterday as a result of poor inflation data, stock markets have stabilised somewhat today,” Lindsay James, investment strategist at Quilter Investors, said. “Investors will have likely come to terms with the fact rate cuts are not coming quite as soon as they first thought, and that we really are in a higher for longer scenario for now.”

    She added:

    “That said, the economic data continues to paint a murky picture, with conflicting data points making the jobs of central bankers especially tough at the moment. For example, more firms are warning on supply chain disruption from ongoing Red Sea hostilities, and with the COVID induced disruption still fresh in the mind, this could see a return of inflationary pressures.

    “Rolling manufacturing shut downs in Europe look likely, with disruption across numerous industries. Autos has been one of the earliest sectors to warn of disruption, although currently markets seem to be focussed on freight rates which although higher, are well below levels seen during covid. This is however likely to mask the significant operational disruption firms are likely to face in coming months, without a quick resolution.

    “Yesterday’s market reaction to the inflation figures shows there are fears that inflation remains embedded in the economy. What gives us some reassurance is that by April energy prices under the price cap will be around 15% lower, whilst food prices are also seeing disinflation.

    “Along with a weakening jobs market, which will reduce the impact of wage inflation over time, the path for inflation still looks significantly better than it did for much of 2023. Consumers and investors will need to be prepared for what will be a very bumpy ride.”

  • Bitcoin price falls a week after ETF approval

    Bitcoin’s price has fallen by over 7% in the week since the US Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, approved multiple spot ETF filings.

    A spot bitcoin ETF is a financial product that investors hope will open the gateway for mainstream capital to flood the crypto market.

    There has been over $11bn (£8.67bn) in spot bitcoin ETF trading volume in the four days of trading since the funds were launched from Wall Street players, such as BlackRock (BLK) and Franklin Templeton (BEN).

    However, over most of the past week the price of bitcoin (BTC-USD) has traded just below the $43,000 mark.

    Bitcoin’s value has dropped by more than 7% from the brief highs observed shortly after the approval of the ETF, when the price exceeded $46,000 last Thursday.

    Find out more here

  • Davos day 3: Chancellor to speak at conference

    The World Economic Forum is still going on at Davos, and chancellor Jeremy Hunt is set to attend today. The UK finance minister will be speaking on a panel about “technology in a turbulent world”.

    The Treasury revealed that he will be championing British excellence in science and technology, and will “bang the drum on investment” into the UK.

    He said:

    “I’ll be in Davos to tell the world that Britain, a nation of great innovation, is on the up and open for business.

    “We boast some of the best and brightest businesses in sectors of the future like digital technology and life sciences. It’s these areas of strength that are going to drive growth across the UK economy in years to come.”

  • UK house prices to rise by 3% in 2024

    And sticking with housing, Andrew Wishart, senior property economist at Capital Economics, said:

    The December RICS Housing Market survey showed sales volumes rising and buyer demand recovering even before the further sizeable drop in mortgage rates in January.

    That’s encouraging for our view that house prices will rise by 3% in 2024 in contrast to the consensus forecast of a 1% fall.

    We suspect the average quoted mortgage rate will drop from 4.8% in December to 4.2% in January, which will support a further strengthening in demand and transactions.

  • Newly agreed property sales reach highest since March 2022

    Newly agreed property sales hit their highest level since March 2022 in December, according to the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) on Thursday.

    Buyer inquiries also recovered for the fourth month in a row, with demand at its highest level since April 2022 when higher interest rates and the cost of living crisis started to weigh buyer demand.

    Tarrant Parsons, senior economist at RICS, said: “Supported by an easing in mortgage interest rates of late, buyer demand has now stabilised, and this is expected to translate into a slight recovery in residential sales volumes over the coming months.”

  • Train tickets from station twice as expensive as online

    Travellers buying tickets at train station ticket machines are being charged up to double the price of a booking online, research shows.

    A same-day, one-way ticket from Holmes Chapel in Cheshire to London cost £66 at the station’s ticket machine but online the same trip was £26, a 156% difference, according to consumer group Which?.

    Someone buying a same day, one-way ticket from Northampton to Cardiff would have paid £107 for their ticket from the machine, 148% more than buying online, where the price was just £43.

    Overall, fares purchased online were cheaper around three-quarters of the time, and on average, same day journeys cost 52% more from machines. In 2022, around 12% of tickets were purchased from a machine — some 150 million journeys.

    Services offered by different ticket machines could vary significantly, with passengers often facing restricted choice and, as a result, higher prices.

    One of the key reasons why tickets from machines are often more expensive is because most don’t offer “advance” fares — cheaper tariffs which are available to buy in advance of travel. Depending on the route, these can even be available up to 10 minutes before departure.

    Read more here

  • Asia and US stocks

    Asian shares were mixed overnight as investors weighed up the latest inflation figures from the UK and Europe and what that meant for interest rate cuts.

    The Nikkei (^N225) closed flat on the day in Japan, despite support from a relatively cheaper yen, while the Hang Seng (^HSI) rose 0.8% in Hong Kong. The Shanghai Composite (000001.SS) was 0.4% higher by the end of the session.

    Meanwhile, across the pond, losses were fairly contained despite the sharp rebound in yields. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) slipped 0.6%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) was 0.6% lower. The Dow Jones (^DJI) lost almost 0.3% on the day.

    US Treasury yields were pressured upwards by strong retail sales figures combined with an unexpected rise in UK inflation. Benchmark 10-year bonds last rose to 4.1% from 4.066% late on Tuesday.

    The US dollar which initially rallied strongly to one-month highs, gave up most of its gains to close flat on the day.

  • Coming up…

    Good morning, and welcome to our markets live blog. Please follow along to stay up-to-date on what is moving markets and happening across the global economy.

    Here’s a quick look at what’s on the agenda for today:

    12:01am: RICS Housing Market Survey

    7am: Trading announcements: Currys, Dunelm, Flutter Entertainment, AJ Bell

    10am: EU consumer price index

    1:30pm: US initial jobless claims

Watch: How does inflation affect interest rates?

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