Economy

Nigel Farage’s Reform UK manifesto ‘doesn’t add up’, warn economic experts


Reform UK’s election ‘manifesto’ has been described as “problematic” by the Institute of Fiscal Studies, which said its tax cuts would cost “tens of billions of pounds a year more” than Reform anticipated.

And while Reform’s leader Nigel Farage promised to deliver a “radical rethink” of the NHS and the UK’s public services during his party’s election ‘manifesto’ launch, the IFS suggested that Reform’s cost-saving measures would save less than set out.

“Even with the extremely optimistic assumptions about how much economic growth would increase, the sums in this manifesto do not add up,” the IFS said.

“Whilst Reform’s manifesto gives a clear sense of priority, a government could only implement parts of this package, or would need to find other ways to help pay for it, which would mean losers not specified.”

Key proposals outlined in the manifesto – which Reform UK has described as a a ‘contract’ in an attempt to distance itself from other political parties – include:

  • On immigration, leave the European Convention on Human Rights within 100 days and allow zero illegal immigrants to settle in the UK.

  • Freeze all non-essential immigration and raise employers’ National Insurance rates for foreign workers to 20%

  • On the NHS, give tax relief of 20% on all private healthcare and insurance

  • On the economy, reduce the main corporation tax rate from 25% to 15% in three years; abolish business rates for small and medium businesses; and cut fuel duty by 20p per litre

Farage rejected criticism of his plans to cut tax while increasing public spending by an additional £141bn every year, without providing fully costed details on where the money would come from. Instead, he described his proposals as “outside the box”.

Yahoo News has ended live coverage of Reform UK’s manifesto launch. Read below for a summary of the day’s events:

LIVE COVERAGE IS OVER53 updates

  • What is the ECHR?

    One of the key parts of Reform’s ‘contract’ is a pledge to leave European Convention on Human Rights, a body Nigel Farage criticised as being “out of date” on Monday.

    What is the ECHR?

    It’s a human rights charter. It was advocated for by leaders such as Winston Churchill following the Second World War.

    It started with the creation of the Council of Europe in 1949, followed by the adoption of the ECHR itself in 1953. The UK was one of the states which drafted the convention.

    The European Court of Human Rights, in Strasbourg, makes binding judgments on the ECHR.

    What protections does it provide to us?

    Rights, freedoms and protections in the ECHR include:

    • right to life

    • prohibition of torture and inhuman or degrading treatment

    • prohibition of slavery and forced labour

    • right to liberty and security

    • right to a fair trial

    • prohibition of retrospective criminal penalties

    • right to private and family life

    • freedom of thought, conscience and religion

    • freedom of expression

    • freedom of assembly and association

    • right to marry

    • right to an effective national remedy for breach of these rights

    • prohibition of discrimination in the protection of these rights

    Additional rights ratified by the UK include:

    • abolition of the death penalty in all circumstances

    • right to free enjoyment of property

    • right to education

    • right to free and fair elections

    What could happen if the UK quits?

    Liberty, the human rights campaign group, says leaving “would put everyone’s rights at risk”.

    It says the “UK government would have the power to do whatever it wants to individuals’ rights with no threat of consequences”.

    The ECHR, as former government lawyer Sir Jonathan Jones KC said in an Institute for Government article last month, has “profoundly influenced the protection of rights in the UK in areas including the treatment of homosexuals [and] corporal punishment in schools”.

  • Reform’s manifesto ‘does not add up’

    Economic experts have branded the tax and spending pledges in Reform UK’s ‘contract’ as “problematic”.

    Carl Emmerson, deputy director at the Institute for Fiscal Studies said that the pledges would amount to around £140bn additional funding each year – £90bn in tax cuts and £50bn in spending increases.

    On the NHS, Emmerson described Reform’s plan to cut waiting lists to zero as “near impossible”.

    “Of the proposed spending increases, the largest is for the NHS (£17 billion per year). However, this would not be nearly enough to meet Reform’s incredibly ambitious commitment to eliminate waiting lists within two years,” he said. “Eliminating the waiting list entirely is a feat that has not been achieved in the history of the NHS and seems near impossible within two years.”

    He added: “Even with the extremely optimistic assumptions about how much economic growth would increase, the sums in this manifesto do not add up. Whilst Reform’s manifesto gives a clear sense of priority, a government could only implement parts of this package, or would need to find other ways to help pay for it, which would mean losers not specified.”

  • Farage – I wouldn’t work with the OBR

    British Foreign Secretary Liz Truss attends a joint news conference with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in Moscow, Russia February 10, 2022.British Foreign Secretary Liz Truss attends a joint news conference with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov in Moscow, Russia February 10, 2022.

    Liz Truss’s spell as PM was disastrous for the UK economy. (PA)

    Nigel Farage said he doesn’t “want to work with the OBR”.

    The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) was created in 2010 to provide independent analysis of the UK’s public finances.

    Asked about the comparisons between Reform’s plans and former prime minister Liz Truss’s mini-budget, he said: “I don’t want to work with the OBR. I mean they’re part of the problem, not part of the solution. We need radical, fresh thinking, we haven’t had it for years in this country. We are getting poorer.

    He added: “Britain is broken, we’re presenting some radical ideas for how we can change that.”

    Farage has not responded to criticism of how he would fund massive tax cuts and a huge increase in public spending with any detail.

    Truss was widely criticised for refusing to allow the OBR to provide a full forecast of her mini-budget that hit the economy and ultimately forced her to quit.

  • Deadline to register to vote is tomorrow

    TOPSHOT - A dog, wearing a raincoat, waits for its owner to return outside a polling station in north London, as Britain holds a general election on December 12, 2019. (Photo by Tolga Akmen / AFP) (Photo by TOLGA AKMEN/AFP via Getty Images)TOPSHOT - A dog, wearing a raincoat, waits for its owner to return outside a polling station in north London, as Britain holds a general election on December 12, 2019. (Photo by Tolga Akmen / AFP) (Photo by TOLGA AKMEN/AFP via Getty Images)

    (Getty)

    A quick remind that tomorrow (18 June) is the deadline to register to vote in the election on 4 July.

    This can be done online at the government website.

    For more information about how to find out which candidate is standing in your local area, check out Yahoo’s handy guide here.

  • Farage says it is ‘nonsense’ that party’s plans would create larger tax burden than Labour

    Pressed on the calculation that his party’s plans would create a larger tax burden than Labour, Reform leader Nigel Farage said: “It’s absolute nonsense,”

    He continued: “The ambition of this is to reduce the tax burden and to stop people doing jobs, a staff nurse paying 40% tax, eight million people paying 40% plus taxes in a couple of years time, that’s what we’re trying to address.

    “And we’re not going to address it without growth, and we ain’t gonna get growth unless we incentivise men and women to set up their own businesses and be successful.”

  • Opinion: Nigel Farage must believe in fairies

    For all the terror he triggers in Brian Cox, Nigel Farage is a saloon bar bore, not a beer hall putscher. Winning power doesn’t really interest him, writes William Atkinson for The Telegraph.

    He has never had any sort of governmental responsibility: the perfect tribune for disgruntled Right-winger, who can be safe in the knowledge that none of his ideas really matter. Deport asylum seekers to the Moon? Sounds tremendous!

    Read the full story from The Telegraph.

  • Nigel Farage mocked over Reform UK’s ‘deeply unserious’ plan to cut taxes and raise spending

    Reform UK’s plans to cut taxes while also massively increasing public spending has been branded “deeply unserious” as the party unveiled its general election “contract” with voters.

    The document – which party leader Nigel Farage refused to call a manifesto – was launched as the right-wing party threatens to torpedo any lingering chance the Tories had of staying in power.

    Read the full story from HuffPost.

  • Nigel Farage promises tighter borders and tax cuts in election ‘contract’

    Reform UK leader Nigel Farage launches 'Our Contract with You' in Merthyr Tydfil while on the General Election campaign trail. Picture date: Monday June 17, 2024.Reform UK leader Nigel Farage launches 'Our Contract with You' in Merthyr Tydfil while on the General Election campaign trail. Picture date: Monday June 17, 2024.

    Reform UK leader Nigel Farage launches ‘Our Contract with You’ in Merthyr Tydfil while on the general election campaign trail. (Alamy)

    Nigel Farage, whose entry into the election has damaged Prime Minister Rishi Sunak’s faint hopes of victory, set out his policy plans on Monday, describing them as the first step to becoming the dominant party on the right of British politics.

    On Monday he said the earlier-than-expected election had come too soon for his Reform UK party but called on supporters of Sunak’s Conservatives to “join the revolt” and pitched Reform as the only ones who could hold to account Labour, whose leader Keir Starmer is forecast to become the next prime minister.

    Read the full story from Reuters.

  • Farage says public servants ‘pop into Whitehall a couple of days a week’

    On whether his party’s spending pledges would result in cuts to public services, Farage said: “Well cuts to the public sector, I mean, frankly, they’re never in the office anyway are they? It’s work from home, pop into Whitehall a couple of days a week.”

    He added: “If you’re running a company and things are tight, you say to your managers and middle managers, ‘Right, I’m sorry, this is the way it is, you’ve got to cut £5 in £100’ – in fact in tough times it might be £10 in £100 or £20 in £100, and you have to find a way of doing that without affecting the product that we’re selling to the public.”

  • Fact check: Recent migrants account for a small proportion of the UK population

    Nigel Farage says one in 30 people walking the streets has come here in the last two years.

    Figures from the Office for National Statistics suggest this claim may be correct when solely looking at arrivals to the UK.

    However, this does not account for the large number of people leaving the country. Migration does not mean an extra person for every 29 already in the UK.

    Read the full fact check from The Independent.

  • Farage says party will spend £141bn every year

    Reform UK leader Nigel Farage, told his party was proposing to spend an extra £141 billion every year, saying: “It’s radical, it’s fresh thinking, it’s outside the box, it’s not what you’re going to get from the current Labour and Conservative parties who are virtually indistinguishable, frankly, from each other.

    “Is this radical fresh thinking on economics? Yes. Is it radical fresh thinking on constitutional change? Yes. Is it very radical change on the way our education system is currently bringing up our young children? Yes.

    “Britain is broken, Britain needs reform, that’s what we’re here for, that’s what we’re trying to do, and Richard has also suggested some very interesting, radical changes to pay for it.”

    Reform UK chairman Richard Tice acknowledged there are spending costs before adding: “But we also outline all of the savings.”

  • Recent poll puts Reform at ‘record high’

    Reform at a record high in JLPartners poll.

  • Has GDP fallen for past six quarters?

    Full Fact checks Nigel Farage’s comment on GDP.

  • ‘We’ve got a very, very big message’

    Wrapping up the round of questioning, Nigel Farage said: “We ain’t gonna win this election but we are well on our way to establishing that bridgehead in the House of Commons.

    “We may well be a small party now, compared to Labour and the Conservatives, but we’ve got a very very big message.”

  • We’re skint, Farage says

    Nigel Farage said the country was “skint”.

    Sky News asked him where he would find £50bn every year of public waste to fund his plan.

    He replied: “Cuts to public sector, frankly they’re never in the office anyway, work from home, pop into Whitehall every couple of weeks.

    “The bloating of the quangos, the bloating of the civil service… is just astonishing.

    “All we’re gonna get with Labour is more of the same.

    “We’re skint. Who else would dare say that in this campaign? We’re skint. We’re in real trouble. Let’s face reality, we have to have a slimmed down public sector.

  • Farage says he’s been passed a hand grenade

    Nigel Farage said he’s been passed a hand grenade in taking over leadership of Reform.

    Sam Coates from Sky News asked him: “In your contract you’re proposing to spend an extra £141bn every year, about 30 times more than Labour, the scale of this is deeply unserious”

    Farage replied: “It’s radical. It’s outside the box. Britain is broken, Britain needs reform, that’s what we’re here for, that’s what we’re here to do. I’m unashamedly radical.

    “It’s going to be a Labour government, we all know that, I said that two weeks ago when Richard passed me the ball or the hand grenade or whatever it was!”

  • Farage cites Lee Anderson as former member of Labour who has defected to Reform

    Farage was asked by GB News to describe a ‘typical Reform voter’.

    He replied: “A very large number of Reform members are former members of the Labour Party, Lee Anderson being perhaps a very good example of that.”

  • Farage says ‘manifesto’ is real plan

    Farage dismissed the idea that his ‘manifesto’ was a wish list rather than a set of pledges.

    Answering a question from the BBC, he said: “I see no inconsistencies with that whatsoever,” adding that he intended to provide real opposition for the Labour Party.

    “It is a promise, this is what we’re going to campaign for over the next five years. We are going to provide a voice of opposition and this outlines how we’re going to challenge Labour.”

  • Tice says scrapping waste in public sector can fund front-line growth

    Richard Tice said that scrapping projects like HS2, getting rid of foreign aid, and cutting out waste in the public sector would mean the ability to “invest in the front line”.

    “If we get a million people off benefits and back to work, there’s huge billions of savings,” Tice said.

    Another bugbear of ours is HS2, he said, adding “scrap the rest of it”.

    “People love common-sense policies,” he concluded.

  • Tice says Reform are the ‘real party’ on workers’ side

    Reform UK chairman Richard Tice, who was replaced as leader by Farage when he announced he was running as an MP, has now taken over the launch.

    He told the audience: “Word is spreading about Reform UK.

    “We’re the real party on the side of the workers, not the Labour Party – what I call the Cafe Latte Party – that is on the side of big business.”


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