Currencies

Gold climbs to over three-week high on US rate cuts bets -December 28, 2023 at 05:21 am EST


* Gold highest since Dec. 4, when it last hit record peak

* Markets bet on an 88% chance of Fed rate cut in March

* U.S. jobless claim data due at 1330 GMT

Dec 28 (Reuters) – Gold prices steadied after hitting a
more than three-week peak on Thursday, deriving support from a
weaker U.S. dollar and bond yields as markets wager on rate cuts
by the Federal Reserve early next year.

Spot gold was steady at $2,078.35 per ounce as of
1005 GMT, after hitting its highest since Dec. 4, when it last
scaled all-time highs. U.S. gold futures were at
$2,088.40.

The dollar index fell to a fresh five-month low and
was headed for a yearly decline. The benchmark 10-year bond
yield was down near its lowest levels since July,
boosting bullion’s appeal.

“Lack of catalysts in a period of thin liquidity is likely
keeping gold steady. Next catalyst … is likely to come from
the leading indicators (ISM, PMI) and the job report at the
start of 2024,” UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

“We look for higher gold prices over the next 12 months,
with weaker economic data and lower inflation in the U.S.
forcing the Fed to cut rates and this should support gold.”

Markets await the U.S. initial jobless claims data, due at
1330 GMT, for further cues on Fed monetary policy.

Investors are betting on an 88% chance of a rate cut as
early as March, according to the CME FedWatch tool, a huge swing
from a month ago when the probability was just 21%.

Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of
holding non-yielding bullion.

On the physical front, China’s net gold imports via Hong
Kong rose about 37% in November from the previous month, data
showed.

In other metals, spot silver rose 0.4% to $24.3393
per ounce and was poised to end the year with an about 1.4%
gain.

Platinum was flat at $997.09 and palladium
fell 1.6% to $1,134.70.
(Reporting by Hissay Ongmu Bhutia in Bengaluru; Editing by Nick
Macfie)



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