Finance

European stocks slump as China growth fails to cheer traders


Passers-by and tourists stand on the banks of the Yangtze River in Chongqing, China. FTSE, European stocks

The FTSE fell despite gross domestic product expanding by 5.3% in China in the first three months of the year. (dpa, dpa picture alliance)

The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) and European stocks tumbled into the red on Tuesday despite news that the Chinese economy grew faster than expected in first quarter.

Gross domestic product (GDP) rose 5.3% in the country the first three months of the year, beating expectations that the world’s second largest economy would see growth slow to 4.6%.

It came as the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that the rate of UK unemployment rose to 4.2% in the three months to February.

  • London’s benchmark index was 1.3% lower in early trade, with miners and banks among the fallers

  • Germany’s DAX (^GDAXI) dipped 1.4% and the CAC (^FCHI) in Paris also headed 1.4% into the red

  • The pan-European STOXX 600 (^STOXX) was down 1.3%

  • Wall Street is set to open lower as S&P 500 futures (ES=F), Dow futures (YM=F) and Nasdaq futures (NQ=F) were all in negative territory

  • UK unemployment rate jumps by more than expected

  • Superdry (SDRY.L) shares tumble 34% after launch of delisting turnaround plan

Continued concerns over tensions in the Middle East, along with worries over how soon central banks will start cutting interest rates, are dampening risk appetite among investors.

Victoria Scholar, head of investment at interactive investor, said: “Risk-off sentiment is gripping European markets today…as negative momentum from yesterday’s sell-off on Wall Street carries forward to this morning’s price action.

“The strength of the US dollar is proving problematic for risk appetite as hopes fade of a near-term rate cut stateside. San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said there’s ‘no urgency’ to cut US interest rates.

“There are also worries about rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East with concerns about how Israel plans to respond to Iran’s attack over the weekend.”

Follow along for live updates throughout the day:

Live12 updates

  • Gas prices rise amid Middle East conflict

    Wholesale gas prices have gone up amid fears that an Israeli retaliation to the attack by Iran at the weekend could spark wider conflict.

    Europe’s benchmark contract rose as much as 6.6% on Tuesday. It comes as prices had recently fallen by 30% since the start of the year after a mild winter meant that stockpiles were left relatively full.

    The UK equivalent contract jumped almost 7% today.

  • DS Smith agrees £5.8bn takeover by US rival

    UK packaging firm DS Smith is set to be taken over by US rival International Paper after the companies agreed a £5.8bn all-share deal.

    Memphis-based International Paper will own around 66.3% of the combined group, with London-listed DS Smith owning the remainder.

    International Paper said it would seek a secondary listing on the London stock market, and set up a European headquarters at DS Smith’s base in London.

    DS Smith boss Miles Roberts is to act as a consultant to the combined company and Richard Pike, the UK company’s financial director, will be paid a retention award of £550,000 to stay on at the new business.

    The companies did not say how many jobs were likely to go in the UK or specifically across DS Smith’s operations.

  • Rents growing 5.2% faster than earnings

    Selly Oak, Birmingham, 4th February 2024 - Houses for rent in Selly Oak, Birmingham, England as the UK Housing Market continues to fluctuate. Credit: Stop Press Media/Alamy Live News

    Selly Oak, Birmingham, 4th February 2024 – Houses for rent in Selly Oak, Birmingham, England as the UK Housing Market continues to fluctuate. Credit: Stop Press Media/Alamy Live News (Stop Press Media)

    The cost of rent has outpaced salary growth by 5.2% over the past 10 years, leaving renters significantly worse-off today than they were a decade ago

    Data from Zero Deposit has revealed that in the past decade the average price of rent in England has grown from £742 a month in 2014, to £994 in 2023. This marks an increase of £252 per month or £3,024 per year. In percentage terms, this is a decade increase of 34%.

    Meanwhile, the average annual salary in England has grown from £27,919 in 2014 to £35,955 in 2023. This is a cash increase of £8,036 over a decade, equivalent to 28.8%.

    • In the East of England, the average salary has grown by 27% since 2014 while the price of rent has grown by 43.1%, meaning renters in the regions are now 16.1% worse off than they were ten years ago.

    • In the South West, the gap between rent and salary has widened by 9.7% while the East Midlands (9.6%), South East (9%), North West (6.9%), and West Midlands (3.3%).

    • In London, the average salary has increased by 29.8% since 2014, while the price of rent has grown by 22.4%, meaning renters in the capital are, in theory, 7.4% better off today than they were a decade ago.

    • In Yorkshire & Humber, renters are 1.4% better off, while in the North East, salaries have outgrown rent increases by 1.1%.

    Sam Reynolds, CEO of Zero Deposit said:

    “With rent prices rising at a faster rate than earnings, the issue of rental affordability is only getting worse. This means tenants are under increasing financial pressure in day-to-day life, but also means that the ability for them to put money aside is dwindling.

    “In turn, this means that any aspirations for home ownership are served a significant blow as people have less opportunity to save for a mortgage deposit.

    “Unfortunately there is very little being done to address the issue and urgent action is needed if we’re to improve rental market affordability.”

  • Dr Martens issues profit warning and announces new boss

    Dr Martens shares plunged almost a third on Tuesday, to a record low, after the British boot maker warned of another tough year in its key US market.

    The firm said was anticipating a double-digit percentage decline in American wholesale revenues, which would impact overall profits.

    It added that it did not expect to hike prices further this year, which had previously enabled it to offset cost inflation.

    It also revealed that Kenny Wilson has decided this will be his final year at the helm. As part of a succession plan, Ije Nwokorie, currently chief brand officer, will succeed Kenny as CEO before the end of the current financial year.

    “The FY25 outlook is challenging, and the whole organisation is focused on our action plan to reignite boots demand, particularly in the USA, our largest market,” Wilson said.

    “The nature of USA wholesale is that when customers gain confidence in the market we will see a significant improvement in our business performance, but we are not assuming that this occurs in FY25.”

  • Buy now pay later users to exceed 670m by 2028

    A new study from Juniper Research, found that by 2028, the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) userbase will increase by 107%, from 380 million users in 2024.

    It comes as banks and apps are leveraging their positions to underrepresented demographics; incentivising BNPL through offerings tailored to consumers, such as integrated eCommerce platforms.

  • Superdry slumps amid plans to delist from London Stock Exchange

    Superdry branch of the British clothing chain Superd

    Superdry branch of the British clothing chain Superd (Guido Schiefer)

    Superdry shares (SDRY.L) fell out of fashion with investors, slumping more than 34%, as it announced it plans to delist from the London Stock Exchange.

    The beleaguered chain said it would be forced to enter into administration if it did not go ahead with the move.

    It is looking to raise up to £10m through an equity raise that would take the firm private.

  • Long-term sickness hits record high

    Delving back into the ONS data from this morning, the number of people out of work due to long-term sickness has hit a fresh high.

    The figures show that there were 9.4 million people economically inactive in the three months to February — the highest since 2012.

    Of those, 2.83 million said long-term sickness is the reason they are out of work.

  • Oil rises as Israel looks to respond to Iran attack

    Brent crude oil rose towards $91 a barrel this morning, before paring back some gains, after Israel said it would be forced to respond to Iran’s attack that took place over the weekend.

    It comes despite Europe and the US urging restraint after deeming Tehran’s attack on Saturday a “failure”.

    Israeli military officials said their country had no choice but to respond to Tehran’s barrage of more than 300 missiles.

    Warren Patterson, head of commodities strategy for ING, said the possibility of a direct response from Israel “means that this uncertainty and tension will linger for quite some time”.

    “The more escalation we see, the more likely we are to see oil supply from the region impacted.”

  • Hunt on UK jobs data

    London, United Kingdom. March 13  2024. Chancellor Jeremy Hunt is seen outside 11 Downing Street..Credit: Tayfun Salci / Alamy Live News

    London, United Kingdom. March 13 2024. Chancellor Jeremy Hunt is seen outside 11 Downing Street..Credit: Tayfun Salci / Alamy Live News (Tayfun Salci)

    Chancellor Jeremy Hunt has focused on the boost to workers’ pockets from rising real wages.

    He said: “It’s great that real wages have now risen for nine months in a row, and, together with our national insurance cuts worth £900 to the average worker, people should start to feel the difference.”

    However, acting shadow work and pensions secretary Alison McGovern took aim at the British government.

    She said: “Tory failure is laid bare by the reality that we are now the only country in the G7 with an employment rate stuck below pre-pandemic levels.”

  • Asia and US stocks slump

    Asian shares slipped into the red overnight, following a slump on Wall Street as higher yields in the US bond market pressured stocks.

    The Nikkei (^N225) slumped 1.9% on the day in Japan, as the dollar continued to gain against the yen, hitting fresh 34-year highs.

    Meanwhile the Hang Seng (^HSI) fell 2.1% in Hong Kong, and the Shanghai Composite (000001.SS) was 1.7% down by the end of the session.

    It came despite the Chinese economy growing at a faster-than-forecast annual rate of 5.3% in the first quarter of the year. In quarterly terms it expanded by 1.6%

    China’s National Bureau of Statistics said:

    Generally speaking, in the first quarter, the national economy made a good start with positive factors amassing, laying a strong foundation for achieving the annual development targets.

    However, we should be aware that the external environment is becoming more complex, severe and uncertain, and the foundation for stable and sound economic growth is not solid yet.

    Across the pond, Wall Street closed sharply lower as simmering tensions in the Middle East curbed investor risk appetite.

    The three major US stock indexes reversed initial gains to extend Friday’s sell-off. The Dow Jones (^DJI) fell 0.7% to 37,735.11, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) lost 1.2%, to 5,061.82, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) was down 1.8%, ending at 15,885.02.

  • UK unemployment climbs to 4.2%

    The UK unemployment rate has risen to an estimated 4.2% in the three months to February, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed on Tuesday.

    There are now around 850,000 additional working-age people out of work, who are no longer seeking work or are unable to start work, than before the pandemic began.

    The unemployment-to-vacancies ratio, a key measure for the Bank of England, ticked up to 1.6 as unemployment increased and vacancies fell further.

    Meanwhile, pay growth was still stubbornly high — at 6% — but continues to fall to more reasonable levels.

    Liz McKeown, ONS director of economic statistics, said:

    “Recent trends of falling vacancy numbers and slowing earnings growth have continued this month, albeit at a reduced pace.

    “At the same time, we are now seeing tentative signs that the jobs market is beginning to cool, with both a fall in the headline employment rate from our survey and a drop in the total number of people on payrolls from HMRC data.”

  • Coming up…

    Good morning, and welcome back to our live markets blog. Follow along to stay updated with what’s moving markets and happening across the global economy.

    Here’s a quick look at what’s on the agenda for today:

    • 7am: Trading updates: Dr Martens, Petra Diamonds, Qinetiq

    • 7am: UK unemployment report

    • 10am: ZEW index of eurozone economic sentiment

    • 10.15am: Treasury Committee hearing with Clare Lombardelli, deputy governor at the Bank of England

    • 1.30pm: US building permits and housing starts data for March

    • 2pm: IMF latest World Economic Outlook

    • 3.15pm: IMF latest Global Financial Stability Report

Watch: What is a recession and how do we spot one?

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